2012 Election Center: The Main Event - Obama Wins

[the2real4mafol]

Kasz216 said:

the2real4mafol said:

Kasz216 said:

the2real4mafol said:
Let's predict the final result

Barack Obama (Democrat)~49%
Mitt Romney (Republican)~45%
Others~ 6%

Let's see how close that is!

Why not.

Popular Vote
Barak Obama -  49.6%
Mitt Romney - 48.8%

 

Electoral Vote

Obama - 286.

Romney - 248.

 

Though if turoun numbers are wrong that whole script could be flipped.

I expect turnout to be lower than it should be in some states because voting seems to be made something of an inconvience

http://rt.com/usa/news/florida-vote-early-voting-017/

Believe it or not, low turnout numbers would probably be good for Obama.

As he's winning Democrats, but losing Independents and Republicans. 

 

That said... voter turnout is actually a lot higher then you would think.  It's just calculated stupidly.

It's calculated by counting the number of votes vs the number of people of voting age that appeared on the census... ignoring

 

A)  felons can't vote

B) People with visas and other legal aliens can't vote.

C) Illegal aliens can't vote.

 

All three are counted in the US Census.

oh ok but what sort of turnout do you get in these sort of elections? In British general elections every 5 years, we get 60% to 65% turnout