2012 Election Center: The Main Event - Obama Wins

[the2real4mafol]

HappySqurriel said:

the2real4mafol said:
Let's predict the final result

Barack Obama (Democrat)~49%
Mitt Romney (Republican)~45%
Others~ 6%

Let's see how close that is!

I'm not confident enough to make a real prediction, but I think it will either be Obama just barely beating Romney or Romney beating Obama by a fairly large margin ...

At the moment I think that of people who are going to vote about 45% are intending on voting for Romney, about 46% are intending on voting for Obama, and about 9% plan on voting for a third party candidate or are truly undecided. I think the two most likely outcomes are for third party voters to maintain their vote and the undecided voters to split pretty evenly which leads to an Obama win, or for the third party vote to disappear into Romney and for undecided voters to split in favour of Romney leading to a significant win for Romney.

If Romney wins, I would think he cheated because his family own machines that count votes in several states, while his party is sending out lying ads that are trying to deter voters from voting, it might be a conspiracy itself but i thats what i think.

But i expect any 3rd party votes to come off Romney from what are usually republican voters and vote 3rd party, for example Ron Paul fans won't vote romney, they will probably vote johnson. But who knows about undecided voters?