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Outside of the first wave of die-hard fans, I think we're going to Wii U sales dip quite a bit before building as more games are released. The early adopters buy for the hardware but most people buy for the software. I think the real system movers are further off in the launch window. Then, as with most consoles, software accumulation will lead to greater consumer interest.

So, no, I don't see a Wii type phenomenon. I think the Wii U will have a more traditional console growth curve.