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Argh_College said:
4.5m 1st week

Halo 3 did ~4m with a 20m userbase.

70m userbase and many people tired of Cod will jump ship.


3.8mil to be more exact. Reach did 3.7. The point? Userbase doesn't mean shit. Bungie isn't involved anymore so Halo 4 might do worse than Reach. I predicted 3.45m because I think many will be holding on for Black OPs 2. Halo 4 marketing has been really aggressive though so it could actually do closer to 3.7 depending on reviews.

Anything over 4m will be extremely impressive. The game is going up against Call of Duty this year so if it manages to set a new record, I will put a Master Chief avatar for my profile for the rest of the month.

This Halo is launching in the holidays so I take back what I said. My new prediction is 4,150,000.