Too much can happen for anyone to say that.
I think in the first semester it'll not do as well as last year's.
Two reasons:
1 - No launch numbers anymore.
2 - No big games scheduled (so far) for the first 6 months. Since most of those games take a lot of time to release after announced, it'll be very strange to see one now (SS will take 14-16 months and God Eater 2 even more, for example.). Soul Sacrifice can be a incredible game, reach blockbuster levels and really sell the system - it's a great move by Sony - but not being released in the holidays makes that still in the air for me. The others, not so much, I don't think any will do miracles, imo.
Second semester is impossible for anyone to predict.
1 - Price cut
2 - Unannounced games - there can even be a monster hunter, for example, nothing is set in stone. Add this game with the item 1, and boom, instant success.
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