PS2 will remain the best selling console of all time by the end of this gen

[Immortal]

runqvist said:

There were a lot of people predicting this with good basis. There are some general guidelines for countering their points, here is some examples with claim and the reply it received. Just generalisations, do note that.

 

Casuals might lose interest in Wii  - "lol wii is a fad, hardcore hater"

Even though wii is the market leader, it lacks of third party games - "there are plenty of upcoming great games -> wait for the game X -> who needs third party games anyway" I could go on and on about this part, which happens to be the most important one.

As hd adoption rate gets higher, hd consoles will sell more. Wii is not powerful enough.  - " Wii has proven that people don't care about graphics"

Wii has a terrible online system - "Who needs online, only hardcorez"

 

When it comes to third party games, people should have been able to see that the wii is not going to get the same kind of third party support as the ps2. It just lacked the horsepower for multiplats and did not have big enough market share to do it alone. Without the games, it was clear that Wii was not going to keep on selling like it did.

 

 

 

 

 

I won't deny that there must have been some people predicting this with good basis. This prediction in particular, though, evidently didn't have any justification. Which is why I think that we needn't give him our sympathies or serve crow to those who ridiculed him.

As far as your points go, the third party games one seems to be the only significant argument. It's very doubtful that the other factors actually played much of a role in Wii's decline. And, honestly, this generation was pretty much revolutionary in terms of third party stubbornness, for lack of a better word. Can you really blame people for thinking that third parties would eventually flock to the console that is way cheaper, way easier to develop for and way more popular, albeit much weaker? I mean, as long as their primary motive is profits, I'd've thought that third parties would go along making cheaper and graphically weaker games on the Wii instead of putting as much effort into the HD consoles as they did.

We had pretty much the same situation with the DS, didn't we? That made it all the more likely that Wii would follow.