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Jay520 on 11 October 2012
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Slimebeast said:
theprof00 said:
superchunk said:
Why do people keep saying that ps360 show no signs of slowing down? Thy are both only a couple million above Wii for the year and have double digit YOY declines. They are on their way out too. 2013.

Who says that?

They are definitely slowing, the question is "at what rate". They are down 20% and neither have received price cuts.
That's not very impressive. At 20% rate drop every year, we're looking at another 18 million each over the next two years not including this holiday. At a 30% and 40% subsequent, we're looking at 14m over the next two, not including this holiday.

Q4 2013 is not as obvious as some might think it appears. There is still a lot of money to be made.

Contrast this with the wii, which lost 40%, then 60%. 20% is not so bad, especially when both are still coming out with blockbusters and could each receive pricedrops.

There is still money to be made but with another 20% drop (at least) in sales for PS3 and X360 in 2013 those are simply too small sales to continue without also launching a new, fresh generation.

Just ask yourself, of all announced upcoming games that look current gen (Tomb Raider, Bioshock Infinite, GTA5), why are they all slated for Spring 2013? Meanwhile the games that look next gen haven't got any release dates (Metal Gear Ground Zeroes, Star Wars 1313, Watch Dogs), namely because next gen consoles aren't officially announced yet.

Why is Sony planning to release The Last of Us, Beyond and God of War Ascension all in Spring 2013?

Similarily MS has got Gears of War Judgment planned for Spring 2013.

Why release all these big current gen games in Spring 2013 and none in the Holidays of the same year? It's all because the PS4 and Nextbox will release in Holidays 2013.



Games are rarely announced so far ahead. For example, games releasing in late 2012 were usually announced in early 2012, or the very end of 2011. While games released in spring 2012 were of course announced in 2011. It's October which is a bit early to announce games releasing late next year. Expect announcements for late 2013 games in a few months. It's like this every year. And I can almost guarantee that a lot of games scheduled for spring 2013 aren't going to release until late 2013.