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SamuelRSmith said:

... and what "ultra conservatives" worth their salt, would vote for Romney? A Massachusetts moderate who probably won't touch abortion or marriage, and is known to be anti-gun (said he would sign an assault-weapon ban).

I'm sure the conservatives who are sucking their gut to vote the party line, would do so no matter who the nominee is.

True. My point was just that we can't know for sure that RP would have won if he was the nominee, just like we can't assume that people who vote for Johnson would have otherwise voted for Romney.