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@ DMeisterJ, greenmedic, Doats, etc.

 

I´ll just quote myself now, look:

 

1,800,000 / 30 = 60,000 units a day which means 420,000 units a week. Now Nintendo has to stockpile for the next christmas season already. If they´d sell 320,000 units each week they´d be stockpiling 100k units for Christmas - 14.3k units a day which is 430k units each month. Now let´s take into account that November + December won´t see any further stockpiling we have to multiply that by 10.

430,000 x 10 = 4.30 million units for Christmas which is quite realistic. And don´t forget there should be more Wii sales during weeks like this with big releases or the golden week in Japan which brings us closer to 4.0 million units in december. Now add those 1.8 million units they´ll produce in december and you´ll get to 5.8 million units which would ensure that there are enough Wii´s in stock this holiday.

Sounds quite good I think especially taking into account that Nintendo wants to release the Wii in China this year, too.

According to Vgcharts the Wii sold 4.16 million units in december 2007. 5.8 million for 2008 is quite a bit high but Nintendo certainly know what they are doing - we´ll probably see bigger Wii sales during launch weeks of big titles and not all of those 5.8 million will be left for Christmas.

 

Edit: According to VGchartz the Wii sold 2.4 million units during November. That means we have to subtract another 0.6 million units which brings us to 5.2 million units for december - probably a bit less.

 

So all in all we get to 5.2 million units in December which is quite realistic.