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ZenfoldorVGI said:
bigjon said:
Louie said:
bigjon said:
Oh... so these aren't the official numbers?

Yea there is no way the PS3 only had a 5k increase in HW, I expected the Wii to be well over 130k too... mainly due to NA's hw lowness.. if this is true where is that 1.8 million production? It certainly is not sitting on theshelves.

Well, last years Wii sales have stabilized at around 260k units a Week. Last weeks sales have been 312,000 units worldwide and this week will see sales of around 340,000 units.

That´s a big increase over last years sales. As I said before it is probably Nintendos limit at the moment.


I would think that there limit would be 450k... then I realized that my simple calculation was flawed I was doing 1.8/4.... but January had 4.4 weeks so its max should be about what? 400k or so...


Yeah, assuming no stockpiles, we should track at around 400k a week, guestimate.(actually, it's probably about 380)

 

That does put each week at 360 or 370k in the margin for error though. The dissapointment this week, was we assumed lower numbers from earlier in the year were being stockpiled for the Brawl release and apparently they weren't. I think the december shipments, for January, were being shipped out the door as they were made, in smaller shipments, and Nintend must just now be getting over the holiday console rush.


It is very possible that they made spread there brawl stockpile out over several weeks. Nintendo probably assumed most of the Brawl early adapters had a Wii and are shipping out a larger than normal allotment of Wiis for those who are going to buy a Wii just for brawl. It makes sense really, why would some stand in line for hours to get a game he might not even be able to get a Wii to play it on. I think we could see elevated (90-100k) hardware for Wii in Japan for 2-3 more weeks.

How's that theory sound ; )



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut