Prediction: The PS Vita will sell under 20m units

[MDMAlliance]

VicViper said:

MDMAlliance said:

At its current rate, given holiday seasons giving it temporary boosts and the occasional game that is a system seller, it can easily push over 20m in 10 years.  Not only that, but when Sony does give the PS Vita a pricecut, there will be more people flocking towards the Vita as that is one of the main concerns right now.  The games library will definitely build itself over the years, and there are already some decent games on the Vita.  20m in 10 years would pretty much make the Vita one of the worst selling systems ever.

Why this 10 year thing? If it continues to sell bad ( as in "at this rate") it won't be there in 10 years. That's the whole point.

It's selling worse ("current rate") than a system that hasn't reached 10 million.

Not saying that it'll do just 20 million, but the whole point is "at this rate" it's not going to get there

"At this rate" doesn't have to mean "if it maintains the current sales rate it is at this very moment."  It means the rate that we can currently perceive it going with what we know about the system so far (and what's coming out) in the context I'm using it.  The Vita hasn't been out for a year yet, and I would say usually sales are better in the middle of its life rather than its first year.  We know Call of Duty and Assassin's Creed is coming out on the Vita.  It should sell the Vita more systems temporarily at least.