Prediction: The PS Vita will sell under 20m units

[MDMAlliance]

VicViper said:

Oromashu said:
I disagree. I don't own a Vita, but I'm fairly certain it will sell more than 20m in ten years time. It's only been out 7 months in America/West Market and has sold 3m. Let's say it sales 5m total in its first year, multiply that by ten and you're already at 50m, and that's just a rough estimate.

This doesn't include things like price cuts and the eventual Vita remodels that will boost sales somewhat. So it should be able to sale 20m by year five or six.

So for you, the dreamcast sold 50 million too, since it's tracking better than the Vita.

That's not how this works.

Wasn't the dreamcast discontinued though?  So isn't that kind of an unfair example?  It may not really be how it works, but 20m is still quite a low amount for 10 years if they continue to support it throughout its lifetime.