It all depends on the competition (and nowadays that's not Sony and MS alone; you got phones and tablets as well). And I don't think it'll reach 20 mil in it's first year; more likely 10-15m. Perhaps it'll sell 20m in 2014 - IF there isn't that much of a graphic leap.
At minimum it'll sell 40m, and maximum it'll get to 120m... so let's say 75m ;)
I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!
Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.







