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The PS4 situation will be the same as the PS3 situation, but with possibly less multi-plats (depending on ease of porting).

Reasons:
The PS3 offered some of the best 1st party games last gen, that won't chage.
Good relations with certain studios will not change.
Tarnished relationships will stay for next gen.
The WiiU and nextbox will dominate the market worldwide except for Europe, so multi-plat nextbox/U is to be expected after 2 years in.

I expect Sony's PS4 to commercially fail, and Sony to become 3rd party gen 9.