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As many people have pointed out this is (basically) asking how many Nintendo will ship ...

While I could be wrong, Nintendo will probably ship between 400,000 and 1,000,000 systems in North America for launch day (most likely closer to 400,000) and may follow up with an additional 200,000 to 500,000 (probably closer to 200,000 if they ship any) later in the week. With this in mind I think it is most likely that they will sell 500,000 to 750,000 in North America but I would put an outside chance at it surpassing 1,000,000 if they shipped enough; because launch week followed by Black Friday could be a very successful 1-2 punch.