I think the 720 and PS4 will fail sales wise if there is no hook

[HappySqurriel]

maverick40 said:

HappySqurriel said:

maverick40 said:
They will sell better than the wii u, that is for sure.

Based on what?

We don't even know what the PS4 or 'XBox 720' will be or how the Wii U will sell ...

Two years from now we could see a home console market that is similar to the handheld market today, with Nintendo having a less powerful but less expensive system with a built in 'gimick' that launched earlier outselling more powerful systems by a wide margin.

Based on the fact that the Nintendo are launching their Next gen console in less than two months and there is zero hype, no price tag, no launch line up,no info regarding nintendo network. Nobody has any clue what the Wii U is and the casuals will think it is an add-on to the Wii. 

I have found that hype is a very unreliable indicator when it comes to sales, primarily because hype is usually measured based on how an unrepresentative 0.1% of people feel about a product. I remember seeing huge amounts of hype surrounding the launches of the Dreamcast, XBox and Gamecube while their sales were unimpressive, and recently the 3DS seemed to launch with little hype and it has sold relatively strongly; certainly, the 3DS' launch was fumbled but sales took off because of an agreesive price and several good game releases.

The lack of information a few months before launch is nothing new in this industry, and has been associated with successful and unsuccessful systems.

 

You have to remember, it is likely that if the Wii U is successful about 5% of people who own it will buy it within 6 months of it launching. While it is important to make a good first impression, producing a successful product is determined by more than just having a good launch; and becoming the market leader is a marathon not a sprint.