Chark said:
EDIT: looking at the 47k sold in Japan with the typical 20k sold elsewhere next week will have 5.3 millon. Makes me want to write a thread called "PS Vita is a MAJOR sucess - We need to talk about it" and laugh in Man Bear Pig's face Bwahahahah. The numbers still need to go up, so if you read this buy a Vita. NO BACKSIES. You read it! |
From how I understand your calculations... the predicted sales are derived purely from the last week of Vita sales (and then comparing to last years other platform sales). This means any bumps in sales due to games or promotions outside of the normal calendar increases (Black Friday and Christmas) are actually throwing the prediction off course.
What would be better at getting an end of year total prediction is to use a larger sales period (at least a month, but maybe go bi-monthly or quarter)... It wouldn't be as good at showing the weekly trends, but just for the end of 2012 total it would even it out a little (and wouldn't require updating as much).
