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My guess is November 2013. Either the 6th, 13th, or 21st. With the 5th being most likely, the 13th a strong possibility, and the 21st being the last possible day.

I'm not sure that Microsoft would try a world-wide release, however they may attempt a multi-market release. With the Americas and Europe getting a day 1 release, and Asia, Australia, and Africa getting a later release date.