| Bruceongames said: It could. Remember it will have a ten year sales life. And we haven't got into the meat of the sales yet which come after it is reduced in price to be an impulse purchase. The main decider will be the war with PS3. If Microsoft win this convincingly then they have a chance of doing those numbers. Also remember that the market in established console nations will be much bigger than it was for PS2 because of the broadening game playing demographic. And new nations like India and China are coming on stream. These have enormous potential over trhe next 7+ years for the 360. |
The Wii probably has, but if the 360 and the PS3 had, they'd have sold loads more by now, especially since those that make up this broadening demographic are adults and have the cash to put down for it. Also; India and China won't be major factors in this gen imo, even PC sales are a bit slow there yet, even though China wil surpass the US as the nation with the most internet users this year. Japan and Korea (and Thailand to a certain extent) are mad about western products and influence, China and India are definately not.
And besides; in 7+ years the 360 will be a non factor for these markets anyways. If you're analysis holds true and these nations take on buying game consoles because of increased wealth and broader market horizons, they won't be buying last gen machines at any rate. Also; the meat of the sales at almost ludicrous low prices for the last box was really nothing to shout in the streets about... I do think the 360 will be moving software for ten years, but the console itself will have a significantly shorter life cycle than that I believe.
