WiiU will bomb hard this holidays season and will only sell, by the end of 2012, roughly 3M total worldwide

[JWeinCom]

Silly hardcore gamers don't seem to get the casual market.

The Wii U's sales figures will depend on how many units they could produce over the period. If they produce 3 million units over the holidays, they'll sell three million. If they make four million, they'll sell four million. Beyond that it might get a little iffy.

I'm going to go on the record here with this. IF the Wii U's price is 350 or less with Nintendoland as a pack in AND it launches by November 18th, it will be the number one selling console this holiday.

Nintendo is still the number one company in terms of family friendly gaming. Many people who already owned the Wii last year wanted something new, so they bought the X-Box or the PS3. This year will bring another round of Wii owners looking for something new, and Nintendo should have be able to win those people over.

As for the tablet, people are overlooking its appeal. It's designed to turn gaming into something that feels familiar. I think that if a person who isn't a console gamer but owns a smartphone or ipad sees the Gamepad, they're going to be curious and want to pick it up and try it. From there, if the software is good, it will win them over.

I see the Wii U as a fairly similar product to the Wii, and if Nintendo markets and prices it correctly, I see no reason for it to be unsuccessful.