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Jumpin said:

Microsoft to me is a big question; I don't think they will be successful in Japan, and I would be surprised if they were as successful in Europe next generation as this generation; but I think they could probably be bigger in North America next generation due to them being an American company, and Americans being all patriotic/nationalistic and stuff.

Microsoft, if they don't screw it up, seems to have a good idea of what the next generation should be; the one way they could screw up is pricing. I think if they over-tech their console, and overprice it, it will do heavy damage to their market.

Sony... I honest don't think Sony has had a very good idea of what they're doing; they seem very confused about the videogame industry - and the company seems to be in chaos and on the verge of collapse right now. They still think that making powerful systems and slapping their brand on it is the way to success; when that was failing them, they began to heavily copy other companies in both hardware and software. I can see Sony continuing this confused strategy into next generation. In terms of marketshare; Sony relied heavily on the PS2 reputation to get what massively declined market share they did get this generation. I can see a lot of people not wanting another Sony console; and the Vita is strong evidence that Sony brand appeal has largely evaporated.

Either way, for Nintendo, it seems to be a much easier road this generation. If the 3DS vs Vita is any indication, Nintendo should see increased success in the next generation. Nintendo won't have the same sort of software droughts in the early system lifecycle, many of the top games on PS3 and Xbox 360 will also be on Wii U over the next year. Then after a year, the exclusive lineups will kick into full gear, and it might be hard for anyone else to catch up after that.

 

I think Wii U could outsell Xbox 3 by a large percentage; but PS4 it should outsell by at least 3 fold, otherwise they are doing something wrong.

Why are you using the Vita vs 3ds sales as evidence that the Sony brand in your words has 'largely evaporated'?

Since this thread is discussing how Wii U will do against the PS4, a console not a hand held, why not use the last couple of years of PS3 sales vs Wii because I'm sure that would really strengthen your point of view.