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I think Wii U will sell 3-4 million before the end of the year. Within a month of release we will know if it is going to be like the Wii and production constraint or a slow battle up like the 3DS depending on more software releases to keep driving hardware sales.

While I think the Wii U design is awesome... I don't see a Wii Sports like title that will really drive ever green sales. Nintendo Land will not be that title... no matter how much Nintendo wants it to be like that.