Immortal said:
Looks like they've adjusted for more or less everything then. Of course, I bet there's still a lot of holes to poke in this if I tried desperately, but I suppose that would be taking it too far. If this study is showing more lack of mobility than most, though, do studies generally have statistically insignificant differences in terms of how likely someone is to end up being poor as an adult when he or she is born poor? Because this was awfully close to that in some parts already. |
I'm sure, most studies have flaws. I'm sure i'd poke some holes in it myself if i wasn't feeling lazy and un statlike today.
Different studies tend to show different stuff. In general it's a hard thing to study because of rapidly changing demographics in general.
The 1975 family isn't really like the family today for example, poorer families are disproportionatly more likely to be single parent families, that can't help.
As for the "real" numbers... honestly I don't remember. Outside the fact that economic mobility according to the IRS is basically the same as it was 20 years ago. Economic mobility INCREASED among workers. So people were far more likely to move up by getting a better job then their parents... of fall down by getting a worse job.
However. this was offset by economic mobility through marriage. People were far less likely to move up in income due to marriage. The rich being more likely to intermarry. Which makes sense, consdiering the fact that there are more and more rich women and the workplace is still the number one place to meet people.
Instead of Don Draper marrying his secretary... now a days Don Draper is marrying his coworker.








