HappySqurriel on 28 May 2007
| mrstickball said: DO believe the 360 will beat out the Wii this generation based on a few reasons: 1. The primary reason is the fact that I believe year-wise, the 360 will live a longer life vs. the Wii. Even if the Wii does great, I think, at most, it'll get 5 years before a major overhaul. Right now, the 360 is looking at 6-7 years until a succuessor is launched, and MS has already indicated that they're not going to "Xbox" the 360 and kill the platform off. IMO, the Xbox, had it of recieved more support post-360 launch (like, actually have a factory produce the friggin' system), it would of sold an 500k systems in the US. 2. You can say "oh, SSB, SMG and MP3 are going to out-duel the holy 360 trinity of GTAIV, H3, and whatever #3 is between ME, Madden or Bioshock , but the numbers just don't work. Examples from VGChartz: Super Mario 64: 6,870,000 Units Sold (highest-selling Mario game in the US since Mario 3) Smash Brothers MeLee: 4,060,000 Units Sold (highest selling GC game in the US) Metroid Prime: 1,920,000 (Highest-selling MP game thus far) |
The "Lifespan" thing is largely debateable because (almost) every company talks about how their platform will have an 8 to 10 year life when it is first released; 5 or 6 years later they release a follow up system and may support the existing system for about a year, after that it only survives if third party publishers still see value in releasing games for it. Unless Sony or Microsoft do something unconventional (and probably stupid) expect a new system from them in 2010-2012.
Now, Microsoft may win in North America but it will be reasonably close; and they stand no chance of being the worldwide leader.
