Why do some people think 360 will outsell PS3?

[Dodece]

@PooperScooper

Your reasoning and rational are hardly relevant as in the ability to manufacture a product is part of its intrinsic nature. More to the point while the complexity of the PS3 might be a pleasing feature to some, and most certainly is a defining characteristic. The dreadful downside is that its harder to manufacture then its counterparts. You can't separate the flaw from the beauty. Were the machine easier to manufacture it probably wouldn't be the PS3 we are discussing it might be made with more common components.

Equally the design of the Wii is a byproduct of the Nintendo philosophy, and whether you know it or not that philosophy saved the PS3 last year. I can sense your doubt how can the philosophy that has sold more then twice the consoles be a saving grace for the PS3, and the answer is this. Nintendo is a conservative company they produced the Wii in the exact same fashion they produced the Game Cube. Thats why they have had such supply issues. They weren't aggressive. Had they been right now the entire story would be different.

The same holds true for Microsoft and their positioning strategy. Had their console received even a few more months in research and development it might have had far greater reliability. How would that have effected console sales last year. Certainly would have helped consumer confidence, and saved Microsoft a great deal of money to be spent elsewhere.

Thats the thing with what if scenarios. They don't resolve anything, and they aren't really valid answers. They ignore a very basic thing in life. Luck you only get so much of it. You can't build anything on luck. Your not going to always get lucky. Sometimes the other guy will get lucky, or you might make them lucky by being foolish yourself.

I am always irritated by those what if scenario shows that start off with the pretext that Nazi Germany could have won WWII if they only didn't screw up these dozen things, but of coarse they are already ignoring the fact that they got as close as they did, because others screwed up a dozen certain things. So basically if Nazi Germany got really lucky two dozen times that certain things happened they would have won WWII. Your really stretching reality to its limit to accommodate the last likely possibility.

Equally Sony couldn't always do everything right every time. This time around they over engineered their hardware, and desperately wanted to use it as a Trojan horse. The result was they had to delay the launch, and that wasn't necessarily stupid on their part. They had gotten away with it in the past, and if you look at European sales its plain to see that they don't mind getting the second string treatment from Sony. They seem to rather enjoy it even. The problem was that North Americans and the Japanese were far from enamored with their expensive product so a lot of consoles spent a lot of time not selling on those shelves. While consumers in Europe couldn't buy any.

Had Sony gotten lucky and consumers had really ignored how expensive their console was this wouldn't be a issue right now, but you can't get lucky every time, and if your betting on luck to save you. Well your going to come to an unkind fate.