Wii U, 3DS, my thoughts...

[SaviorX]

Pavolink said:
I eagerly wait for Galaki opinion.

Also, in my opinion, 3DS is selling ok-good because of the DS brand, not for its own. Many games are sequels for DS games that make the handheld a success: NSMB sequel, Nintendogs sequel, Oni Training sequel and next year Friend Collection sequel.

I'm expecting 3DS sales to start to fall soon after XL release, with maybe another revision for holidays 2013 or Q1 2014. It could end with something like 90M at the end, which is good, but that's all. Maybe replaced at holiday 2015 for a very different handheld.

About the Wii U, I expect to sell very well initially, and while never will reach the peaks we saw with the Wii, its sales will be more consistent during its life.

Next year is most likely the 3DS' peak year, but I also feel 2014 will be very close; no less than 15% below the 2013 total. 2011 was around 13.5m, 2012 will probably be around ~19m.

With that in mind, I'm therefore assuming the 3DS sells 23.5 million units next year. and probably 20.75m the year after.

3DS Lifetime hardware sales will be past 115 million for sure.