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TWRoO on 29 July 2012
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VicViper said:

Sony expects 10 million for this fiscal year - not first year.

So, first calendar year being 5 million or so does not make their prediction wrong. But expecting 10 million without launch numbers now is almost delusional.

You should make this graphs for fiscal year, so we can compare it to Sony's forecast.

BTW... nice thread!

Ha, yeah no way are they going to push out 10 million Vitas for FY ending 2013, even with a September price cut to match the 3DS. (I mean being ridiculously optimistic, with the price cut they end 2012 at 7.5 million, they then have 3 non-holiday months to sell 2.5 million just to get to a 10 million total before April 2013, then they are still behind by whatever they shipped in the previous fiscal year which I can't find the figure on at the moment (doesn't seem to be in their latest fiscal report) but it must be more than 1.6 million which is what the VGC sales figure had passed for w/e 31st March 2012.

EDIT: just looked into it, I found afew bits of info about the Vita selling 10 million by the end of March 2013, but I think they were just from a Sony employee interview and suspect he meant the total sales (shipments) will be 10 million by then (ie including all since launch). What they forecast in the fiscal report was 16 million for combined PSP and PSV shipments during the fiscal year.

The fiscal report is definately going to be too high (last year PSP shipped 6.8 million max, I am unsure if that included Vita shipments but if so it would only make the situation worse as the Vita doesn't have much chamce of making up 9.2 million shipments in the current FY.