I think the most important trend we're going to see is the post-Golden Week average, as it's going to most likely continue sales trends worldwide between now and August. IE, with the PS selling sub-9k in Japan, and around 40-45k a week in the US/Europe combined, I believe we will see the numbers hover around that data for quite some time. Therefore, I believe 50k a week will be the PS3 average. The 360 has had a sizable boost since the Elite came out, but I wonder how well it'll do. Right now should average (after TB/Forza) around 4k in Japan, 50 to 55k in the US, and 25k in Europe. Therefore, the 360 should average around 75-80k per week for summer. The Wii is the real question. Where will the true post G/W average cometo in Japan? 55k? 60k? I would hope that Nintendo could average 60k a week post-GW on some sort of predictable basis. The Wii, although strong in April, is doubtful to hold 100k a week every week for the entirety of summer. However, it could. In Europe, I would expect some what more predictable sales around 45k. Therefore, the Wii's mystery numbers are anywhere from 195k to 225k a week. So we most likely, for summer, will get: Wii - 215,000/wk X360 - 77,500/wk PS3 - 50,000/wk. The trend(s) are, atleast to me: The PS3 is dropping like a rock, and most likely has, or will soon hit, rock bottom. The 360 will stay steady, and the Wii will fluxuate between 195k and 225k a week, depending on shipping qualities.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
