pezus said:
WiiBox3 said:
Allfreedom99 said:
Not trying to be picky but I couldn't resist commenting on this. sorry :)...
On your prediction for opening day at $75 million and opening weekend at $120 that would probably be one of or Thee most lop sided opening weekend in history. If a movie makes $75 million on Friday and then splits $45 million at lets say $25 million on Saturday and $20 million on Sunday it would be unprecidented. Going from $75 million in opening day and dropping 77% in its second day would mean either a huge natural disaster happened causing people not to go, or it would be the worst hype movie that bombed after its opening day in history. Probably about the worst most movies will drop on its second day would be somewhere around 50%. Actually Harry Potter: DH P2 is ranked 3rd for the biggest Friday to Saturday drops when it went from $91 million on Friday to $42.4 million on Saturday. A 53.43% drop. That was mostly due to almost everyone even wanting to see the last Harry Potter movie were so hyped that they HAD to see it by opening day. TDKR does not have that same affect at that level.
TDKR will indeed have a huge opening day as so much hype is surrounding it, but I don't see TDKR breaking the record for largest Friday to Saturday drop. That would be embarrasing to all involved in bringing the movie to market...and would be a very bad sign for its remaining grosses in the rest of its box office run.
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Thanks for catching that. I just threw in the opening day without thinking. I was just thinking opening weekend would be $120m.
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120m is pretty low though. It would be a disaster if it opened like that.
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120 would be a disapointment for opening weekend. To be considered a successful ending to the trilogy this movie should at the very least earn $135-140 million opening weekend and thats at the very bottom. Im not saying $120 is impossible for it to go that low if expectations are much too high than what reality is. Even so I would suspect the hype meter is extremely high especially for those who saw TDK.
So I expect it to have a very sizeable opening weekend and more likely to taper off faster through the rest of its box office run....Unless the movie is raved about as even better than TDK then this movie will have some big legs and will surpass the previous. But I still think the former scenario is more likely.
