Lets predict the future of 3DS! (sales included!)

[NintendoPie]

sperrico87 said:

NintendoPie said:

Some of your predictions seem a little high. (The 3DS Sales and Pokemon one come to mind.) Why do you think Pokemon on 3DS could sell that much? Has any Pokemon (after Sapphire and Ruby) gotten that high?

Paper Mario, based on first three entires in the series, and the fact that handheld games historically do not sell in as large of quantities as home console games, will not sell more than 3 million lifetime.  Same with Luigi's Mansion. 

I think you're absolutely right that NSMB2, MK7, and 3DLand are bound to sell over 15 million lifetime, but I would say it's unlikely, given 3DS's performace outside the Japanese market, that any of those three titles match or exceed 20 million.  It just seems very unlikely to me.

Kid Icarus is unlikely to even exceed 2 million at this point.  It fell to the #100 in the US last week, and it's only three months old.

I'm surprised you made no mention of Animal Crossing: Jump Out in your predictions.  Animal Crossing has historically been a huge long-tail seller for both DS, GameCube, and Wii.  I would think that game will exceed at least 10 million in sales during 3DS's lifecycle, and mabye even hit 15 million depending on market conditions two or three years down the line, when 3DS sales will have eclipsed and began receding.

It is reasonable to assume at least one or two Kirby games will be produced for 3DS, and those will sell 1-2 million each, possibly more. 

The big wild card of course is Smash Bros, since this will be the first time Nintendo has released one for a handheld to complement the home console version.  Whether it ends up being bundled with the Wii U disc, or it is a seperate retail product for 3DS, it is bound to exceed 5 to 6 million.

Are you supposed to be quoting me or the guy who I quoted?