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From Metroid:Corruption - NA sales prediction thread...

BenKenobi88 said:
MontanaHatchet said:
Some of you are a little optimistic. Metroid is a big game, sure, but it has a LOT of competition in August, as shown in this beautiful thread...

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=4583

This will likely get me slaughtered, but August will be a 360 month. Everyone will buy Madden and Bioshock, no one will have money left for Corruption. I'd put it at...

110-120k first week...

550k by end of September...

Million seller by 08!

Uh...plenty of people who own a Wii will definitely buy Metroid. I hear people talking about Metroid, and I didn't even think they would know what Metroid is. Obviously Madden will outsell it, and probably Bioshock too...but if you're implying that people that own both a 360 and a Wii can't afford 3 games...then pssh for you.


I totally have to agree there. This game is very well hyped and I've read from several sites (in general, they're about even on the harshness scale) that it's the best controled FPS on any console ever. I think it will do well enough within the hardcore crowd to sell out the first week (so I'll say 225k first week) and slow down to about 1/3 or 2/7 of that by the end of September, leading to about 625k (roughly calculated using an exponential sequence) sales or so by then. I love this game, and for that I'm going to put end of the year sales at 1.1 million.

Summary:
First Week: 225k
End of Semptember: 625k
End of the Year: 1.1mil

But why such a high end of the year number? Well, I think atleast 700-800k can be expected of the hardcore crowd. This is the FPS for a system that shows so much potential for them. I don't care if it's the least of the Big Three, it's still very big. I'm banking on the controls and the genre for the other 300-400k sales. I think it will work quite like the Wii did with word of mouth and first hand experience leading to getting one of their own (oh, and hopefully a nice marketing strategy). I'm thinking the controls, while certainly not as simple as something like Wii Sports, will be so intuitive that casual gamers will be able to play the game (proficiently, not in a pro manner) within thirty minutes.

Couple the above idea with the fact that all the 12 year old kiddies think that FPS = hardcore and mature and teh pwnzorz and I think the game should do well (okay, Metroid is extremely mature and undoubtedly not a casual game and looks to be very good, but that's not the point).

 

 

It was a tad longer than Soriku's.