Anyway, refutations:
1. Nintendo's first party support has proven to be the most powerful sales force in the industry; of the 6 major franchises this generation (selling 15m+ a title), only one of them is not Nintendo published.
2. I don't think graphical perception of PS4 vs PS3 is a relevant point, the Wii had far less graphical power and sold even better. No one bought a PS3 over Xbox 360 on graphics.
3. Smartphones are successful because they're better than the older models of phone. Xbox 360-2 won't benefit from having features available on cell phones because it has an inferior interface.
4. An Internet browser was not a main selling point on any console. Not even a minor selling point.
5. Free online service was not the main selling point of the PS3, it was the Sony brand recognition.
6. You say "most likely launch at a lower price" but with no evidence to support your claim.
7. Sony is struggling, but Nintendo had one bad year, and is predicted to recover by the end of this year; plus they have a lot of available assets. So financially, Nintendo needs decades of similar bad years to drain funds. Unlikely that either Nintendo or Sony will skimp on marketing budgets due to financial situations.
8. Motion controls aren't a gimmick, they're an interface capability required for entire genres; Just Dance 3 released 7 months ago is soon to hit 10 million on Wii - an example of a gimmick would be achievements. The Wii U has this interface option and more with the Wii U powered portable monitor. Nintendo has this fanbase firmly, Kinect games don't sell unless bundled.
9. The Xbox brand relies more heavily on franchises cloning the previous iteration (Halo, Call of Duty, Gears of War) than the Super Mario franchise (which actually diversifies); so this speculative point is more damaging against Xbox 360-2 than either of the other two consoles.
You were wrong on all points.
I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.
