sorry about my poor grammer. I am typing while doing some work on the phones.
What my me start thnk about this is when I heard that Lipton(the Japanese retailer w/ 800 preorders and only 150 SSBB) said that they were contacted Sunday(they annouced they would not have enough friday or saturaday) by Nintendo and that they would be able to meet their preorders...
sounds like Nintendo just pulled a buttload of SSBB to the Market to be... I am not gonna get crazy w/ numbers, but Famitsu compared it the hysteria of a FF launch, and FF launches are Usually 2 - 2.5 million first week.
I am think 800k first day with another Major shipment of 300-400k this weekend(still counted in week since Japanese week ends sunday) and if they sell out we could be looking at 1.1-1.2 or so first week... that definitly does not seem out of reason.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
