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i dont think there will be anything close to a shortage for this game

games that have shortages are the ones that are packed in with peripherals and surprise hits or sometimes better than expected sales like cod 4 being sold out for the first 2 weeks

Halo 3 had at least 5 mil at launch just to avoid shortage

nintendo shouldn't expect anything less than at least 1.5 mil for first week so unless al those rumors about nintendo purposely under supplying is true i dont think we will see anything close to a shortage