| Mazty said: Direct numbers, no, relative numbers, sure, why not. However I'm willing to admit that any guess, whether it's optimisitc or pessimistic, will be based a lot on luck as there are still a few unknowns. For example, if Nintendo slash it's price, would that help? Could they afford to do so? More so what happens (and I wouldn't be surprised at this) if MS or Sony announce their next console a few months before the WiiU? A few flashy next-gen graphics games would beat the crap out of the WiiU but are the competition at such a stage with their hardware? I'd be more confident on numbers closer to the release date. Still though I'm interested in hearing how you think it's sales life span will go. |
I think that graphics will have little to do with it; I can't guess at numbers for now, since we don't know enough about its software lineup outside of 2D Mario to hazard a decent guess.
So we'll look at your more concrete prediction, which was that the Wii U would lag behind the PS3/360/Wii by at least 25% in terms of speed of sales.
The slowest of those consoles, the 360, sold ~6 million consoles in its first 52 weeks. Easy to figure out.
Based on your prediction I would be willing to bet that the Wii U will sell over 4.5 million in its first 52 weeks, without aligning the launches.
