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Gilgamesh said:

Fine, I'll post...

It's hard to pick a top 3 there's to many unpredictable games. But for sure a top 3 in that list in the OP will outsell NSMB2. Here are some of my thoughts, going through the list it looks like CoD, Allstars, and Fifa should be the top three. Could do up to 15 million, a number NSMB2 won't hit unless it's bundled, then it has a chance.

 

  • Assassin's Creed III: Liberation - 2.5m
  • Call of Duty: Black Ops Declassified - 6 - 8m
  • FIFA 13 - 4m
  • Gravity Rush - 2m
  • Lego Batman 2: DC Super Heroes - 2m
  • LittleBigPlanet 2.5m 
  • Metal Gear Solid HD Collection - 2m
  • Need for Speed: Most Wanted - 1m
  • Persona 4: The Golden - 2.5m
  • PlayStation All-Stars Battle Royale - 3m
That's another thing are you counting bundles if its bundled?

Out of curiosity

Why are you expecting NSMB2 to do only half of its predecessor's lifetime total?