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Stever89 on 29 January 2008
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Ail said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Ail said:
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I highly doubt that the 15 millions that bought GTA or the 10 Millions that bought FinalFantasy or even those that liked Halo are the same persons, overall there are probably 50+million players or more that liked one franchise or another...

Secondly most people are comparing Wii sales to PS2 sales.

Try to compare XBox360 + PS3 to PS2+Xbox total and you will see that right now they are tracking roughly the same, by the end of the PS3 second year the total of both consoles this generation will be equal to the total of both the previous generation ( and at least 2008 doesn't start in a way that seem to indicate that either XBoX360 or PS3 will sell less than in 2007) after the same amount of time.


If you added up the top selling franchises on the PS2, and take the top seller for each of those, namely FFX, GT3, GTA-San Andreas, KH1, MGS2, DQS, you only get 50 million. That's only 50% of the userbase. Also, I bet maybe 25% of any of those gamers are the same people, meaning there's roughly only 30 million actual people.

I don't think 360+PS3 = PS2+Xbox. The Xbox360 had a slower first 52 (this one is for America, 360s "strongest" market) weeks in each region than the Xbox did. Also, the PS2 only had Japan the first 20 weeks or something, so using "All" to compare each console is a bit off. More specifically, the PS2 Japan actually beats PS3 Japan + America for a while. PS3 + 360 will not equal even the PS2 in the same time frame. That's why it's GOOD that we have the Wii, otherwise the consoles would have many issues, namely:

  • Lower userbase compared to the PS2
  • Higher costs compared to the PS2
  • Longer build times for games
  • With lower userbase, and higher costs, means less profits, or more loss
  • More risk involved in games means companies start doing the familiar, ie, fewer new IPs
  • Also newer, smaller, devs have a hard time developing for the consoles, resulting in fewer games in general
  • Fewer IPs mean more rehashes of old games
  • Fewer IPs mean a less diverse library of games
  • Less diverse library means people who are not interested in those types of games that sell well, will not bother getting the systems
  • Repeat
  • Market shrinks
  • Market crashes
  • But at least the Wii wouldn't have ruined gaming!
Obviously this isn't completely the case, but I could see something like this happening, to an extent. More possible would be that smaller devs would simply keep making games for the PS2, but that still doesn't "further" gaming as the HD console people want it to, ie, the graphics wouldn't improve, they'd just stay PS2 level, at least for smaller devs.