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I quite agree, Avinash. Which is why my prediction is that the Wii will meet demand, at earliest, in 2009. Which will lead to the inevitable price drop to $200, adjusting demand once again to a high level. At which point the Wii will likely coast along on stellar sales for the rest of the year and into 2010 before things even remotely have a risk of tapering off again.

Really, the Wii's biggest problem won't emerge until late 2010 at earliest, assuming MS jumps the gun again and releases another system a year ahead of the norm (this one with motion controls and a new marketing campaign to branch out to a wider audience; MS is not known for ignoring the insanely successful tactics of the competition). And even that won't be able to do more than steal a little steam from the Wii juggernaught, from the most dedicated fans of console gaming at large, until around 2012 or so (by my estimate; that's around how long it took for the Genesis to really nab the NES's market advantage from Nintendo, and about how long it took for the PS1 to really dominate over the SNES).



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.