It's 16m for Vita & PSP together...which I don't buy honestly. PSP is dying pretty quickly now even in Asia, its down by 1/2 over Q1 2011 now that Vita is out in the West. I think PSP could do 4-5m globally if Vita continues to sell slowly, with Vita doing a bit more than that, say 7-8m. If they kill PSP by cutting the Vita price massively, it will be more like 10-11m Vitas along with 2-3m PSPs.
I guess I'll go on record and put PSP & PS Vita at 13m for the FY 4m / 9m with a price cut for Vita, and 3m / 12m for PS2 / PS3. I don't see either combo quite reaching 15m though. PS3 once did 14.6m in a year (Oct 2009 - September 2010) and has been slowly dipping since despite Move, price cuts, games, etc. The PS3 purchasing rate is down to about 2.4 games per user in the past year as well, they're entering the danger zone now. Once that rate gets below 2 games per user it doesn't really matter how many users you have (see Wii, PS2, DS, PS1, etc). PS3 could be at 76m * 1.8 games in the March 2013 year based on the latest drop, about 137m games, down 20m from this FY. If it holds a bit better, sw will be flat for the year, if its worse, the drop will have more dramatic implications.
March 2012 Shipment LTDs:
PS2 - 155.0m / 1537m games
DS - 151.52m / 900m games
Wii - 95.85m / 818m games
PSP - 76.3m / 331m games
X360 - 67.2m / not provided
PS3 - 63.9m / 595m
3DS - 17.14m / 45m
Vita - 1.5m (estimated on my part) / 4m?
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
