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analysts are a bunch of idiots. sry to say that but they are almost everytime wrong. i mean, even for whole quaterly numbers for companies like ford or so, i could do the same:

"hmm ok last numbers were like this, i read few days ago that ford isn't growing so fast anymore and i heard that this and that three weeks ago, i predict numbers of: xxx and if' i'm wrong like 15%, who cares". it's not like someone who has never done this before would be 300% off with his prediction.