| man-bear-pig said: If avengers did 80 million on day 1, then it could possibly have a $400 million first week!!!!!!! |
Typically movies with ridiculously huge first days (Friday) have quite a drop off on Saturday. The top three for opening weekends are Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 ($169m), The Dark Knight ($158m) and, surprisingly, The Hunger Games ($152m). Each of these had 2nd day (Saturday) drop offs that were at least $17m. That one was for The Hunger Games, and what's important to note is that it is the only one of the top 3 that was released when kids were still in school. If kids are still in school but may form a large portion of the audience during the opening weekend of a big release, then the Saturday dropoff is likely to be lower if the release is during the school year.
So, basically what I'm getting at is that it's possible that The Avengers won't have as large of a Saturday dropoff as HPatDHp2 and TDK due to those being pure summer releases. Not to mention word of mouth is powerfully great for Avengers. So it's definitely a possibility that it ends up having the largest opening weekend in box office history and taking that crown from Mr. Potter's accomplishment from last year, but $400m is likely asking a bit much.
Source: http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/
Note: Higher ticket prices and wider releases will likely always cause these records to skew to more recent releases, so if we applied inflation and comparable screens, I'd imagine these records would look quite different ...
