ALL marioboys bought SMG and Wii? Or speculations made on SMG and SMS sales

[ZenfoldorVGI]

CrazzyMan said:

Now, i went to look at Super Mario Sunshine sales. Then looked at Super Mario Galaxy sales.

5.91 mln. SMS with 21.5 mln. GC sold.
5.35 mln. SMG with 20 mln. Wii sold.

SMS: -------------------------------------------------------------------- SMG:
Japan: 0.87 mln.(with 100k in last 90 weeks in Japan) - Japan: 0.88 mln.(i expect to reach 1.1 mln.)
USA: 3.73 mln. ------------------------------------------------------ USA: 2.90 mln. (legs are declining will reach 4.1 mln.)
Europe: 1.31 mln. -------------------------------------------------- Europe: 1.57 mln. (will reach 2.1 mln.)

Total: 7 mln. (6 mln. bought by mario fans) + 1 mln. new gamers.

If SMS did 6 mln., then with SMG making 7 mln. Wouldn`t that mean, that 85% of wii owners are mario/nintendo fans?
Because I DON`T see SMG reaching 12 mln.
Even 8 mln. to me are hard to beat(looking at 16k SMG in Japan).
+Now i am looking at Gears Of War sales. 2.2 mln. in first 10 weeks + 1 mln. in europe. With 20-50k legs on 11th week vs probably 60-70k of SMG(which of course will make 7 mln. vs 5 mln. geow).

Maybe i created this thread a bit too early, because legs really went down only in Japan(when SMG Reached SMS numbers), BUT i noticed that now, so.. =)

And READ - SPECULATIONS.

Too early. How long did it take Sunshine to reach those numbers? Now, if Galaxy keeps up that trend, and the Wii keeps selling like it is....well, if the Wii sells 60 million consoles, how many copies will have sold?

 

I just don't see the logic in comparing a first year console software number to a console with a whole generation behind it.