Why Nintendo has been "slow" to increase production.

[Renar]

Oyvoyvoyv said:
The problem with this thread, is that Ps2 had very big differences between launches. Japan launched 7 months before USA, so your graph is wrong. What you should do is this:

Japan Wii Vs Japan Ps2

5.0 Wii vs 4.3 Ps2 = 0.7 + Wii

Europe Wii vs Europe PS2 (not total others, Ps2 had a big difference in launches here too)

5.9 Wii vs 5.92 Ps2 = 0.02 + Ps2

Usa Wii vs Usa Ps2

8.6M wii vs 8.0 Ps2 = 0.6 + Wii.

Total: 19.5 Wii (lacks 550k of other than Europe data) vs 18.2 Ps2 = 1.3 million more Wiis than Ps2s or + 10 %

You could look at this (http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=------&weeks=80&weekly=1) and see that the week nr 40 or something were Ps2 beats Wii is where Ps2 launches in USA.

You could see here (http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=------&weeks=400&weekly=1) and see that Wiis average is about Ps2 average in the next 2 years.

Ps2 had sold 110M in 7 years, that is 15,7/year. In 2007 Wii did 14.5M. It is not selling twice as fast as any home console, it is selling slower than the Ps2.

Will it beat the Ps2? Yes. Because 1.8 * 4 is 7.2M and in april ish they will increase to about 2.2M * 8 = 17.6M = total of 24.8M and later on for the next 5 years 26 ish in average and end at 26* 8 = 130M + 20M = 150M = 25 ish more than Ps2.

Sum up: straight facts: it is not selling as fast as PS2 at current rate.

 The problem with your analysis is that it assumes that if Sony was able to launch the PS2 nearly simultaneously as the Wii was, that Sony would have no production issues with it, and all the PS2s produced 7 months after Japan for America would be available at the same time as it was in Japan for America, and similar to with the Europe and other than Europe launches.  

If Nintendo had waited 3 months to launch Europe and others, like the PS3 did, there would have had been another 1.2M Wiis available to sell in Japan and America.  Which, I believe, would have sold.

If Nintendo had waited 7 months to launch Europe and others, like the PS2 did between the Japan and American launch, there would have had been another 2.3M Wiis available to sell in Japan and America.  Which, I believe, also would have sold in that time frame.

But we won't know for sure if the Wii would have sold that 2.3M in Japan and America, any more than we won't know if the PS2 could have done a simultaneous launch. 

So, what's left?  IMO, which one for full year to year sales, on average, has the better sales.  As you noted, PS2 is 15.7M a year.  The Wii's full sales for 2007 was 16.1M.  By a very slim margin, Wii wins the first year.  6 more years to go. 

If the current 1.8M sells out over that time period, not to mention any raises in production, the Wii will beat out the PS2.  We'll see.