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Oyvoyvoyv said:
The problem with this thread, is that Ps2 had very big differences between launches. Japan launched 7 months before USA, so your graph is wrong. What you should do is this:

Japan Wii Vs Japan Ps2

5.0 Wii vs 4.3 Ps2 = 0.7 + Wii

Europe Wii vs Europe PS2 (not total others, Ps2 had a big difference in launches here too)

5.9 Wii vs 5.92 Ps2 = 0.02 + Ps2

Usa Wii vs Usa Ps2

8.6M wii vs 8.0 Ps2 = 0.6 + Wii.

Total: 19.5 Wii (lacks 550k of other than Europe data) vs 18.2 Ps2 = 1.3 million more Wiis than Ps2s or + 10 %

You could look at this (http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=------&weeks=80&weekly=1) and see that the week nr 40 or something were Ps2 beats Wii is where Ps2 launches in USA.

You could see here (http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=------&weeks=400&weekly=1) and see that Wiis average is about Ps2 average in the next 2 years.

Ps2 had sold 110M in 7 years, that is 15,7/year. In 2007 Wii did 14.5M. It is not selling twice as fast as any home console, it is selling slower than the Ps2.

Will it beat the Ps2? Yes. Because 1.8 * 4 is 7.2M and in april ish they will increase to about 2.2M * 8 = 17.6M = total of 24.8M and later on for the next 5 years 26 ish in average and end at 26* 8 = 130M + 20M = 150M = 25 ish more than Ps2.

Sum up: straight facts: it is not selling as fast as PS2 at current rate.

Ok I understand the angle you're taking here. Basically you are saying that the staggered launch makes it look like the Wii is ahead because it was only competing against PS2 data for 1 or 2 regions during the early portions of its lifetime.

The problem is that taking those regions and re-aligning them to create a new set of launch data is the same as if someone were to try and account for all the Wiis that would have been sold had it not been supply constrained. The reason the PS2 was not launched in EU, and US right away is because it was not ready in terms of supply to do so. So going back and aligning launches and saying "These are the real numbers" is really only a best case scenario. It says "What if there were never supply" issues, and a valid counterpoint for comparison with the Wii would be if it were not supply constrained what would it have sold?

 

Bottom line is that the launch was staggered for a reason. The same reason the Wii has been sold out for over year actually.



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