I think Wii U could be an bomb..... The casual movement has come and now moved onto tablets. I think Wii U is still trying to cash in on blue ocean stategies that wont be nearly as effective this time around. I think the things that will define this gen are-
1. Functionality. No neccesarily how many features does it have, but how well do the work, and how well do they enhance the gaming experiance. Example having awsome music storage will not cut it, I am talking about digital distribution, online interface, and social interconnectivity of games.
2. Graphics- it will be a 7-8 year jump, people will be able to see the difference and will jump at it.
3. Cost- Who can best use those 2 mentioned areas and keep the launch price under 399, and be able to get it under 299 within 18-24 months. Face is, you can buy a decent PC for 399, you can build or buy a good gaming PC for 699 to 799 no one is going to pay 599 for the PS4 or 720.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
