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i would say next box in terms of sales

the 1st few years this gen werent nothing to write home about but once they releases there 3rd console they'll have better 1st yrs than last gen b/c of the established base and franchises, they also have more room to grow in europe and even japan

i feel sony would need to release at the same time or earlier, have a dev friendly console and releases more M rated exclusive games in the TPS and FPS genres for them to have a chance