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archbrix on 01 April 2012
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RolStoppable said:
Jumpin said:
I think it is erroneous to think that the Vita will average at 90K a week for the rest of the year. First of all, Sony's strongest handheld market is Japan where it is currently selling 10K a week, so it will probably even out at a lower number than 10K in the US and in Europe; sales will probably be under 30K most weeks this year.

An average of 90k a week for the rest of the year isn't much. That's 3.7m units, putting the total just below 5.5m. There's the inevitable price drop, the occasional spikes from big/semi-big releases as well as the holiday boost.

While weekly sales may drop below 50k units at some point, there will also be several weeks towards the end of the year with sales of 250k+ which will raise the average considerably.

Under 30k would be disastrous and is unlikely to happen. The PSP sold about 20m units each in Japan, the USA and Europe, so if the Vita can stabilize at 10k in Japan, it's unlikely to be worse in the other two regions, especially because the Western markets are bound to get (slightly) more interesting titles than Japan which at the moment has nothing worth of note.

This is true.  I took the OP to mean that 90k would be the average in addition to the holiday spike, which was my mistake.  If the 90k average includes the holiday spike, then I agree that's very likely conservative.