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I think all depends on the software that Nintendo is willing to put on the Wii U. If they are launching the Wii U to try to take the "hardcore gamers" from Sony and Microsoft, the Wii U is going to bomb on epic proportions and will sell maybe as good as the N64. If they try to expand the fanbase that they got with the Wii launching games like a new 2d Mario, a new Wii Sports, a new Donkey Kong Country and the more family oriented games they should do fine in the next generation.