John Carter flops. What does that mean for Uncharted movie?

[binary solo]

Noooo. There must never be an Uncharted movie. It would be bad, just like nearly every VG--> movie adaptation. I can't say every adaptation is bad, but I don't think there are any that rise above mediocre.

Even though John Carter is doing OK outside the USA, the fact that is cost Disney $250 million to make means it's going to lose Disney quite a lot of money. In general the movie needs to gross ~190% of the production budget for the studio to break even. That means John Carter needs to gross about $475 million. It's basically impossible for John Carter to gross that much with how poorly it's doing in the USA.

If a studio can make an Uncharted movie for about $50 million then it's almost guaranteed to make a profit even if it's only half decent. All of the Resident Evil movies made a profit because they kepts the budgets low even though they well and truly kept the tradition of not being very good and only made modest box office grosses; though afterlife was a genuine blockbuster outside the USA with $230 million. Prince of Persia made a lot of money at the box office, but the studio spent way too much on the movie so it didn't break even, again because the US audience largely stayed away from the movie, it actually did very well outside the USA. Just like John Carter will do, though John Carter will do worse across the board. I think John Carter will top out at under $250 million globally, so Disney can expect to lose a little over $100 million.

The lesson with VG adaptations is keep budgets down and you will make a profit. Spend blockbuster like money on production and you're in for a loss.