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kain_kusanagi said:

That's why I think the Wii U will see the same level of success as the Gamecube. I don't mean the same sales, I mean the same proportional success to its competitors. MS and Sony are going to continue to fight over the majority of market share and Nintendo, without it's soccer moms, will have a hard time breaking into that struggle. We could see a an even split between the three, but I don't expect to see Nintendo in 1st place next gen.

I agree, it will be very difficult to repeat the success of the Wii to non-gamers.  But with a tablet interface and the right games, they can still do very well for themselves if they play their cards right.

The problem with your Gamecube comparison though, is that it was eclipsed 7 to 1 by the market leading console, the PS2.  I certainly don't see WiiU losing anywhere near that margin, even if Nintendo is relegated to third place.  The Gamecube was not the successor to a hugely popular console, it had nothing to differentiate itself from the competition and it launched a year after PS2 had a substantial lead.  None of these will be obstacles for WiiU.